As morning rolled around, the major new organizations were now describing Clinton was the comeback kid- down 10% in most polls and comes back to win New Hampshire by 3%.
Calling Clinton a comeback kid is a great way for Hillary's campaign to gain the momentum that she had lost after Iowa.
However, no matter how much the Clinton campaign is going to portray New Hampshire as such a comback and no matter how many times news analysts will declare that New Hampshire was the biggest upset in United States political history, both of these statements are simply not true.
Polls taken before the Iowa caucus in New Hampshire showed Clinton with a lead of 39% over Barack Obama. Of course Obama carried momentum over to New Hampshire after his victory in Iowa- boosting the polls in his favor. But really now, a comeback for Clinton- she won at 39%- the same number that she had been polling right before Iowa. Over the course of less than a week, Clinton was on top, then below Obama, and then truly on top. That my friends in not a comeback at all. Maybe if this shift had occurred over a month or so, then we could be talking about a comeback.
Sadly, the Clinton campaign will and is portraying her victory as a comeback- something that will help her gain votes and support throughout the primaries through Super Tuesday. Barack Obama's campaign needs to find the best way to spin this situation to gain support. His speech on Tuesday certainly showed that he is on that track- "Yes We Can" fight up against the establishment (hint, that's Hillary and the Republicans) and "Yes We Can" change Washington and take it back from the hands of the special interests. Basically, we are behind and we need your help America to come out on top.
It is also important to note that not counting Superdelegates- Obama is leading Clinton by 1 regular delegate as both he and she got the same number of normal delegates in New Hampshire because of how close the polls were.
No comments:
Post a Comment